lucid.

For teams that decide together

Whose gut do we trust?

Every team meeting is full of confident predictions nobody ever grades: the deal closes, the launch slips, the hire works out. Lucid grades them, and shows you whose read to weight where.

Become Lucid

It starts with a 3-minute baseline, no account needed. The prediction ledger is free forever; your coach rides along for the first 7 days.

The Henderson deal signs by the 20th.

88% sure

Drag it. That number is yours.

Pick your number. Reality is about to answer.

This is Lu. The glow is your stated confidence. Reality decides what happens to it, and Lucid measures the difference. That difference is trainable.

9 of 10

large projects run over budget (Flyvbjerg). Teams don't lack information; they lack a record of whose judgment tracks reality. That record is buildable.

The account everyone has opinions about

Eight people, one deal. Everyone puts their own confidence on the same milestones. When reality lands, the lead settles it once and everyone gets graded on their read.

Not who was right: who KNEW

The score isn't accuracy. The person who said 60% and hit 60% gave the team perfectly priced information. That's the skill Lucid measures, so hedging doesn't win and bravado doesn't either.

Sol reads the team

One tap and the coach maps who runs hot, who runs careful, and whose read to trust on which kinds of calls. Strengths and development areas, with receipts. Never a leaderboard.

Sol, the coach

Not a cheerleader. A coach.

Meetings reward confidence. Sol grades it. Those are different jobs, and your team needs the second one.

Great instinct! You’ve totally got this! 🎉
What would have to be true for you to be right about this one?

Not validation. Measurement.

How the training works

Metacognition is built the way any skill is built: repetition against reality.

1

Call it

Fifteen seconds. Say what you believe will happen and how sure you are. Lu's glow is your number, on the record.

“We ship the redesign by the 21st.”

62%

Lock it in

2

Reality answers

When the moment arrives, Lucid asks what happened. One tap. The feedback comes from your life, not an algorithm's opinion of you.

Moment of truth

Did the redesign ship by the 21st?

Called itNope

One tap. Reality is the teacher; Lucid just takes attendance.

3

See your real track record

A picture of what your word actually means: when you say 80%, how often are you right? The gap between your line and reality's line is the exact thing the training closes.

Confidence vs. reality

When this person says 90%, they are right 70% of the time. Now they know it, and a number you can see is a number you can move.

4

Get sharper with Sol

A coach that only asks questions, armed with your record. Before you commit, and after reality grades you.

The launch happens by the 21st. I’m 90% sure.
You said 90%. Your 90% calls on launches have hit two thirds of the time. What is different about this one, and how do you know?

A question, not a pep talk. Grounded in your record, not his opinion.

Never graded on being right.

The baseline test reads which quadrant you live in. That reading is metacognition.

95%

Knowledge

Sure, and right.

95%

The blind spot

Sure, and wrong. You didn't know that you didn't know.

55%

Hidden strength

Unsure, but right. Trust it more.

55%

Healthy doubt

Unsure, and wrong. You knew you didn't know: an accurate self-read.

What free means here

The ledger is free forever. The coach and the deeper mirror are Plus. Every new account begins with 7 days of everything, no card.

Free, forever

$0

  • Unlimited predictions and resolutions
  • Your Lucidity Score and calibration curve
  • The one-question debrief on every outcome
  • The daily three
  • Your record, exportable, always yours

Plus

7 days free to start

$79.99/yr

or $9.99 a month

  • Sol, everywhere: pressure tests, debriefs, check-ins
  • Premortems on big decisions
  • Blind-spot analytics by domain and band
  • Decision log with process reviews
  • The weekly deep review
Become Lucid

Your baseline takes 3 minutes. The rest takes practice.