For founders
You're sure. So was everyone.
A third of founders rate their odds of success at 100%. Half the companies are gone in five years. The difference between conviction and calibration is measurable.
It starts with a 3-minute baseline, no account needed. The prediction ledger is free forever; your coach rides along for the first 7 days.
88% sure
Drag it. That number is yours.
Pick your number. Reality is about to answer.
This is Lu. The glow is your stated confidence. Reality decides what happens to it, and Lucid measures the difference. That difference is trainable.
33%
of entrepreneurs in the famous Cooper study rated their own success odds at 100%. Roughly half of new businesses survive five years (BLS).
The fundraise call
You say the round closes by March and you are 90% sure. Lucid writes that down, and when March comes, you find out what your 90% is actually worth.
Premortems on the big ones
Before the big hire or the pivot, Sol walks you through a simple exercise: imagine it is six months later and it went badly. Finding the reason now is a lot cheaper than finding it then.
Ship dates vs reality
Every roadmap runs late in the same predictable way. After a few ship dates, Lucid shows you exactly how late yours run, so you can start quoting dates that reality agrees with.
Sol, the coach
Not a cheerleader. A coach.
Your investors won't tell you your projections run hot. Sol will ask the question that shows you.
Not validation. Measurement.
How the training works
Metacognition is built the way any skill is built: repetition against reality.
Call it
Fifteen seconds. Say what you believe will happen and how sure you are. Lu's glow is your number, on the record.
“We ship the redesign by the 21st.”
62%
Lock it in
Reality answers
When the moment arrives, Lucid asks what happened. One tap. The feedback comes from your life, not an algorithm's opinion of you.
Moment of truth
Did the redesign ship by the 21st?
One tap. Reality is the teacher; Lucid just takes attendance.
See your real track record
A picture of what your word actually means: when you say 80%, how often are you right? The gap between your line and reality's line is the exact thing the training closes.
Confidence vs. reality
When this person says 90%, they are right 70% of the time. Now they know it, and a number you can see is a number you can move.
Get sharper with Sol
A coach that only asks questions, armed with your record. Before you commit, and after reality grades you.
A question, not a pep talk. Grounded in your record, not his opinion.
Never graded on being right.
The baseline test reads which quadrant you live in. That reading is metacognition.
Knowledge
Sure, and right.
The blind spot
Sure, and wrong. You didn't know that you didn't know.
Hidden strength
Unsure, but right. Trust it more.
Healthy doubt
Unsure, and wrong. You knew you didn't know: an accurate self-read.
What free means here
The ledger is free forever. The coach and the deeper mirror are Plus. Every new account begins with 7 days of everything, no card.
Free, forever
$0
- Unlimited predictions and resolutions
- Your Lucidity Score and calibration curve
- The one-question debrief on every outcome
- The daily three
- Your record, exportable, always yours
Plus
7 days free to start$79.99/yr
or $9.99 a month
- Sol, everywhere: pressure tests, debriefs, check-ins
- Premortems on big decisions
- Blind-spot analytics by domain and band
- Decision log with process reviews
- The weekly deep review
Your baseline takes 3 minutes. The rest takes practice.